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The future of equity research

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buyside
Banking Industry
Fidelity
niche

In many market segments, we are living in a golden era on Wall Street, but one area that has failed to shine is equity research. Let's face it, telling people at happy hour that you're a stock analyst doesn't draw quite the reaction it did a few years ago. Yet somehow, despite all the tumult from investigations and Reg FD, the more things change, the more they stay the same. In 2007, I do not expect any magic on the part of equity research units. There are a lot of changes afoot, but the basic trends established this year do not look like they will change significantly. Despite Fidelity's big moves, most of the buyside is not pushing to disaggregate, but they will continue to beef up in-house capabilities. Sellside research shops will remain under pressure; their product will likely get even more vanilla. Independents will remain a lowly regarded niche. So it strikes me that the ground is fertile for some truly entrepreneurial thinking. If you can come up with something out of the box, people will have to take note.

Comments

As an owner of an independent research firm supporting hedge funds, mutual funds, and other Wall Street clients, I believe the future for independent research is very bright. For those firms that can bring real value to their clients, there is clearly demand and opportunity for research services in the area of industry analysis, financial modeling, and due diligence work.

Clearly, just 'hanging out the shingle' is not a path to success. In order to be successful, a firm must provide something unique in the way of analysis, or bring 'deep insight' by specializing in a specific industry or sector.

My firm has seen tremendous growth by following a specialization strategy. And we are not alone. Other firms are growing and profiting with this same strategy.

Most importantly, unlike the statement in the article ("a lowly regarded niche"), our firms and firms like us are highly regarded for our ability to provide unique insight and depth for the industries and sectors we cover. We are valued for our ability to go beyond simple P&L analysis to understanding the fundamental industry dynamics, competitive strategies, and how these dynamics and strategies will affect future performance.

In 2006 I began marketing the Covenant Review research service, which analyzes high yield bond terms. The buyside shops, small and large, are definitey looking for - and willing to pay fairly for - unique research.

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